The central banks are reducing allocations to US dollars and euros
and are shifting to purchases of traditional assets such as gold and
Japanese yen and new alternatives including Chinese renminbi a report
from the World Gold Council said Wednesday.
The official reserves
of global central banks have grown from $2 trillion in 2000 to more than
$12 trillion in 2012. During this same twelve-year period the data
shows significant shifts away from the US dollar while the share of
“other” currencies in reserve composition has tripled in absolute terms
since 2008.
In line with this trend, central bank gold buying in
the fourth quarter of 2012 marked the eighth consecutive quarter of net
purchases by the official sector and the highest level since 1964.
Central
banks became net buyers of gold in 2010 after two decades of being
sellers, according to the WGC. This was a reaction to the sovereign debt
crises threatening traditional reserve currencies such as the dollar
and the euro, the report said. Stimulus programs such as quantitative
easing in the U.S. have also heightened fears of inflation and currency
debasement, which encouraged central banks to turn to gold as a store of
value and hedge against these risks.
Russia, which has been a
regular buyer of gold in recent years, added 391,000 ounces to its
inventory bringing the official reserves up to 31.2 million ounces. The
Bank of Korea increased its gold reserves by $1.03 billion to $4.79
billion in February, equivalent to about 1.5% of its foreign exchange
holdings, and raising its exposure to the precious metal by almost a
quarter in tonnage terms and nearly a third in value terms.
“Gold
has a deep and liquid market with no credit risk, making it one of the
most attractive assets for central banks to consider as they diversify
away from the US dollar and euro. Gold’s tail-risk hedging properties
add to its appeal as a particularly valuable component of a diversified
reserve portfolio.” Said Ashish Bhatia, Manager for Government Affairs
at the World Gold Council.
The study is predicated on the
assumption that central banks will continue to hold 65% of their assets
in dollars and euros, while looking for high quality alternatives
including Chinese, Canadian, Australian, Swiss, and Danish denominated
assets for the balance of their reserves. It quantifies the benefits of
these alternatives using portfolio optimisation methodology and examines
their diversification benefits while providing context for potential
limits to their use due to limited availability or access.
However,
it concluded that gold is one of the most attractive alternatives due
to its lack of credit risk and deep liquid market. The large size of the
gold market, approximately $3.2 trillion, means that central banks have
sufficient access to gold for big investments, the WGC said in the
report. It estimated the average daily trading volume in the gold market
at $240 billion.
Source by Commodity Insights
No comments:
Post a Comment