Thursday, August 1, 2013

Commodities Buzz: Global Dairy Giant Upgrades Milk Price Forecasts

The largest biggest dairy processors in the world, Fonterra raised its forecast for its milk price paid to farmers amid thin supplies. New Zealand-based Fonterra, raised by NZ$0.50 to NZ$7.50 per kilogramme of milk solids its forecast for its milk price in 2013-14, taking it NZ$0.10 from the record high set three years before. Fonterra has forecast a dividend of NZ$0.32 on top, taking the total forecast payout to its members to NZ$7.82 per kilogramme of milk solids, a jump of 28% year on year.

However, supply constraints in Europe, a major exporter, and China, the top dairy importing country during the northern hemisphere spring has contributed to an increase in dairy prices of 3% over the past two months.

Dairy supplies have been run down by strong export demand during a 2012-13 season of poor production, which fell by 3.0% in Australia and by 1.6% in New Zealand. However, going ahead in the second half of the year, milk production will be picking up in New Zealand and the EU, and that is likely to bring a global price decline in most dairy products as early as November or December.
Source by Commodity Insights

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